15 Comments

Likely many possibilities between peace and world war. Most likely outcome is a stalemate somewhere between the two.

Expand full comment

"Israel will get to go in to Gaza with the silent blessing of its Arab neighbors"

The most ideal would be the public blessing: that would provide more ammunition for the information war. I will not be holding my breath for this, but it still would be the best.

And yes: this is undoubtedly a huge inflection point for the future.

Expand full comment

I see that Abbas has canceled his meeting with Biden after a hospital exploded in Gaza. Why the Israelis would attack a hospital is beyond me knowing POTUS is coming. But I can see how it benefits Hamas. Maybe Biden’s plan is already off the rails.

Expand full comment

Reports are mixed: Israel accuses Hamas of a misfire, Hamas blames Israel. There are screenshots of a purported Hamas announcement about bombing Haifa 1 minute prior to the hospital being attacked: no rockets reported reaching Haifa.

https://twitter.com/IsraelWarRoom/status/1714361032066601368

Expand full comment

Jordan's King Abdullah has cancelled the summit with Biden.

Expand full comment

Seems calculated. Biden should not go.

Expand full comment

Biden said he is going, so he needs to follow through.

Expand full comment

He's going to Israel, won't be going to Jordan.

Sucks, 'cause that was gonna be a summit with Sisi, Abbas, and Abdullah for humanitarian corridors.

Expand full comment

Was it a bold gamble Steve? Unfortunately after the 2016 election, we had become enamored with a president who could care less about the right thing and was more fixated with the doing the thing that was in his best interests. For all his China, North Korea. Russia and Middle East blustering, how much was motivated by his personal upside? Perhaps the measuring stick should be the stolen top secret documents and the potential retail value to those running the "axis of evil." Then again, i am probably giving him too much credit, he has always been more of show and tell kind of guy.

Back to the header and why i don't see Biden's decision as a gamble: Doing the right thing should never be a gamble, NEVER. We ran from the concept of right and wrong since the day trump came down the elevator. It's high time we return to that tenet of what this country stands for; doing the right thing. It's that simple. It truly is.

Expand full comment

Boy, would love to see an American President that had the will to prevent regional conflicts that could elevate to world wars. I think we had one of those in the past but certainly not now. I can guarantee that mean tweets offending the left and their media goons would be easier to live with than 10's of thousands of deaths that we are now experiencing.

Expand full comment

When did we have one of those presidents in the Age of Twitter? Bush Sr. or Reagan, I can see, but that was before presidents could tweet.

Clinton - not so much.

Bush Jr. - Not sure his conflicts rose to the level of potential world wars.

Obama - "Red Line", enough said.

Trump - Was more interested in cutting and running from America's global commitments than standing up to anyone.

Expand full comment

And Yet no new conflicts with President Trump, I know it hurts to have to admit it but he was the only one to not get us into any new conflicts.

Expand full comment

Like I said, cutting and running: from our Kurdish allies who were instrumental in the fight against ISIS, for negotiating our surrender and retreat from Afghanistan. It's easy to not get into new conflicts when you refuse to face the ones you're in.

To double-down on Trump, he discussed pulling the US from NATO and was open about not taking our Article 5 commitments seriously. You can argue that Trump might keep America out of WWIII (much like Woodrow Wilson at the beginning WWI), but to argue that he would prevent regional conflicts is delusional.

I guess you could argue that the Ukraine conflict would have been resolved quickly under his watch (with that country dissolved into a Russian province/rump state in a matter of weeks), but that's hardly preventing conflict. It's giving the schoolyard bullies what they want and standing by as they beat on the weaker kids.

Expand full comment

Technically Ukraine has been an active war since 2014: it just got bigger.

Expand full comment