How does your evangelical hypothesis stack up against Latinos dramatically shifting left in this election[1]?
I'd argue that locking up Hispanic day workers at Home Depot instead of hardened El Tren de Aragua members probably played a role, as there are likely more Latino voters who knew someone who was targeted, kidnapped, or assaulted by ICE brown shirts than had run-ins with overseas gangs. Greg Bovino[2] and Kristi Noem likely erased the gains among Latino voters that the GOP demonstrated in 2024, and set the party back a generation on that front.
How does your evangelical hypothesis stack up against Latinos dramatically shifting left in this election[1]?
I'd argue that locking up Hispanic day workers at Home Depot instead of hardened El Tren de Aragua members probably played a role, as there are likely more Latino voters who knew someone who was targeted, kidnapped, or assaulted by ICE brown shirts than had run-ins with overseas gangs. Greg Bovino[2] and Kristi Noem likely erased the gains among Latino voters that the GOP demonstrated in 2024, and set the party back a generation on that front.
[1] https://apnews.com/article/latino-voters-2026-midterms-texas-a65181f2be4d2f4b66cb45343f1627c2
[2] https://www.chicagotribune.com/2025/11/15/latino-us-citizens-racially-profiled-immigration-chicago/
Probably best to refer to Mike Madrid and Chuck Rocha for insight into Latino/Hispanic voters. Their main thing has been "dealignment".
What is your source for Evangelical voter totals?
Linked article from The Stand and other sources I can supply if you like.