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Sad but true ring to your analysis.

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One question: if the Russian build-up is only to capture and secure a "free" Donetsk and Luhansk - on the WEST side of Ukraine - then why the build-up and developments in Belarus, a Russian client state on the EAST side of Ukraine[1]?

[1] https://www.axios.com/satellite-images-russia-military-buildup-ukraine-78fa15ea-f108-4c96-8170-d50eebd4c6a7.html

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