A chance for sanity?
The opportunity for a coalition of the sane may be fleeting
It took longer than I expected but Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (Q-Ga.) has filed a motion to vacate the Speaker’s chair on Friday. The motion threatens Speaker Mike Johnson’s leadership of the House just after the lower body managed to put together a deal to avoid a government shutdown.
From his first day in the office, I assumed that Speaker Johnson’s days were numbered. The fragmented Republican caucus has empowered its lunatic fringe because no one faction is strong enough to garner the votes to elect a Speaker on its own. As a result, concessions to MGT’s MAGA stalwarts and the Freedom Caucus left the Speaker’s office much weaker than in the past. Now, the bills are coming due as MGT calls for a vote to remove Johnson from the post.
But the Democrats have an opportunity, if they choose to take it. Democrats could rescue Johnson and exact a price for doing so. Democrats could join with moderate Republicans to form a coalition of the sane to preserve Johnson as Speaker, rather than voting against him as they did with Kevin McCarthy last October.
In return for saving him, Democrats should insist that Johnson allow votes on much-needed bills such as the budget bills, aid to Ukraine, Taiwan, and Israel, and immigration reform. Johnson may be willing to deal now because, despite his best efforts, he has not been able to please the Republican radicals.
Johnson’s mortal sin was helping to pass a budget deal to try to avert a government shutdown. Some Republicans wanted to exact more concessions, and some members of the Republican kamikaze caucus apparently think that a government shutdown would hurt Joe Biden, but I’m convinced that others want to cause a default in a misguided attempt to reduce spending. Either course would probably be devastating for Republican electoral chances in November since Republican fingerprints would be all over the shutdown and/or default. I think some Republicans won’t vote for any budget bill. (Thomas Massie, I’m looking in your direction.)
The problem is that some Democrats think that they can make better use of the upheaval in the Republican ranks for partisan gain. For example, Johnny Palmadessa, a Democratic strategist, speculated on Threads that Hakeem Jeffries, the House Minority Leader, might become the next Speaker.
Let me just say that anyone who seriously thinks Republicans will make Jeffries Speaker (before January) is probably smoking crack or some other illicit and mind-altering substance. The Republicans may be divided now, but they will unite to keep the speakership in GOP hands.
Other Democrats may favor letting the Republicans deal with the internal factional fighting themselves on the grounds that stoking Republican divisions is likely to help Democrats in November. The problem with this strategy is that it doesn’t get things done. Bills need to be passed and Democrats need to be the adults in the room if Republicans can’t run the House. While Congress dithers, Ukraine and Israel are running low on ammunition, China is eyeing Taiwan, and the border crisis continues.
I’m not a fan of Mike Johnson or his work as Speaker, but the odds are that if he is ousted by Team MGT, we will end up with someone worse. Speaker Jim Jordan, anyone?) A successful House coup by MGT would also elevate her stature in the GOP, something that would not be good for the country or the Republican Party.
These are very partisan times, but there is an opportunity to form a bipartisan coalition to get things done. Hopefully, Democrats learned their lesson from the chaos after the ouster of Kevin McCarthy because Republicans did not.
Johnson is no genius, but he knows that a government shutdown is bad for the party that caused it. The fringe GOP wants a shutdown because most of them won't suffer. The rest of the party will pay for that shutdown. How many times the lesson needs to be administered depends on how long the fringe keeps its power.
Interesting read and one i am fascinated by. Imagine, the possibilities of one or both political parties actually acting out as statesmen and working together. How refreshing would that be? Of course the rub is this David; who (or is it whom?) would be the first to reach out across the aisle with the extended hand looking to find solutions?
It is terrifying to me to even have to write tripe like this. Working across the aisle was always how it was supposed to work. The very thought that an inflated ego hanging around a golf course locker room with his pudgy little fingers pounding away on his phone and stopping the country from functioning, is even more frightening.
Worse yet are his minions who think this behavior and his actions are good for the country is even more bizarre. But then it is the new normal isn't it.