On your first point ("52% of Trump voters believe 2024 election will be rigged"), one of the persistent unanswered questions that I have in this election is what the GOP looks like numbers-wise compared to 2016 and 2020.
Trump clearly runs the Republican Party these days, but to what extent is the Republican Party the same force it was in the past two Presidential election cycles? My hunch is that it's a good deal more #MAGA concentrated, and what I wonder about is whether that's because more folks in the party accept Trump now than before (e.g. Ben Shapiro) or whether those that were not on the #MAGA train left the party, so it's more Trump-intense because the internal resisters left (e.g. our own David Thornton).
This open question has been bugging me for a while, so if you'd be interested in a data-driven look at this, I'd be happy to whip together an article for you if that would be of interest, looking at primary and general election turnout, party registration numbers, age cohorts, etc. Let me know if I should add this to my to-do list.
I agree with you that polling on what the GOP thinks is going to be skewed heavily towards MAGA as those put off by MAGA and Trump leave. It'll be interesting to see what you can put together.
As of the beginning of January, about 1% of Gaza’s population had been estimated killed. At some point, that might qualify as a genocide even if unintentional.
When I look up the term, the definition is “the deliberate killing of a large number of people from a particular nation or ethnic group with the aim of destroying that nation or group.” At least several elements of the definition seem to fit.
By that definition the Central Powers attempted genocide against the British, because 6% of the adult male population was killed in WWI. Genocide cannot be defined as excessive collateral damage due to the enemy throwing bodies at your army. Especially throwing civilian bodies in contravention of the rules of war. Is there such a thing as “unintentional genocide” since the term seems to imply intent?
If he dismissed the Texas National Guard (or any other State's that is sent) or Federalized their troops, it'd just give more salience to the issue.
Biden will likely just wait a few weeks for SCOTUS to rule in favor of the Federal government re: border/immigration issues being the bailiwick of the Federal government.
On your first point ("52% of Trump voters believe 2024 election will be rigged"), one of the persistent unanswered questions that I have in this election is what the GOP looks like numbers-wise compared to 2016 and 2020.
Trump clearly runs the Republican Party these days, but to what extent is the Republican Party the same force it was in the past two Presidential election cycles? My hunch is that it's a good deal more #MAGA concentrated, and what I wonder about is whether that's because more folks in the party accept Trump now than before (e.g. Ben Shapiro) or whether those that were not on the #MAGA train left the party, so it's more Trump-intense because the internal resisters left (e.g. our own David Thornton).
This open question has been bugging me for a while, so if you'd be interested in a data-driven look at this, I'd be happy to whip together an article for you if that would be of interest, looking at primary and general election turnout, party registration numbers, age cohorts, etc. Let me know if I should add this to my to-do list.
FWIW I don’t claim to be Republican. I left the party in 2016 and remain independent. Not being affiliated with a party is liberating.
Precisely why I used you as an example. David French is another.
My bad. I misread your comment.
Looking forward to your piece.
I’d be very interested to see what you have.
I'll get to work.
(And if someone's already covered this, and I missed it, a link would be appreciated.)
I agree with you that polling on what the GOP thinks is going to be skewed heavily towards MAGA as those put off by MAGA and Trump leave. It'll be interesting to see what you can put together.
As of the beginning of January, about 1% of Gaza’s population had been estimated killed. At some point, that might qualify as a genocide even if unintentional.
When I look up the term, the definition is “the deliberate killing of a large number of people from a particular nation or ethnic group with the aim of destroying that nation or group.” At least several elements of the definition seem to fit.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/08/middleeast/gaza-death-toll-population-intl/index.html#
By that definition the Central Powers attempted genocide against the British, because 6% of the adult male population was killed in WWI. Genocide cannot be defined as excessive collateral damage due to the enemy throwing bodies at your army. Especially throwing civilian bodies in contravention of the rules of war. Is there such a thing as “unintentional genocide” since the term seems to imply intent?
Intent would be the sticking point. In the end it probably doesn’t matter to massive numbers of dead and their families.
It’s a horrible situation even if not technically genocide.
Would love to hear your thoughts on the storm brewing over Texas - arguably the biggest story since Jan 6?
Which Texas story? Abortion? Border razor wire?
Biden vs Abbott.
If he dismissed the Texas National Guard (or any other State's that is sent) or Federalized their troops, it'd just give more salience to the issue.
Biden will likely just wait a few weeks for SCOTUS to rule in favor of the Federal government re: border/immigration issues being the bailiwick of the Federal government.